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Global market, channel, and retailer forecasts: a five-year view

02 November 2026 | Jon Wright

Explore our latest forecasts and analysis of the global retail market trends, and the performance and growth outlook for grocery sales by country, for leading retailers, and by channel.

At a Glance

IGD’s analysts publish five-year market forecasts, taking into account inputs including inflation, changes in population and spending, amongst others, which inform separate forecasts for retailers and channels.

Plan for 2031: new global, regional, retailer and channel forecasts 

Together, the forecasts provide everything businesses operating in the grocery industry need to know about their growth prospects to 2031 for 42 countries, seven grocery channels, and 100s of retailers and the factors driving and impacting their differing outlooks.

Keep checking back for the latest insights and forecasts.

Latest insights

Leading grocery retailers in 2031 in Asia

29 October 2026

Are you aligned with the retailers set to capture Asia’s next wave of grocery growth? With the region’s top 10 retailers forecast to generate US$73.3 billion in additional sales by 2031, understand who is winning, where growth is shifting, the strategies setting the leading retailers apart and what suppliers and retailers should do now to benefit from the region’s growth.

Leading grocery retailers in 2031 in Europe

29 October 2026

Where will Europe’s next €138 billion of growth among its leading grocery retailers come from? Explore the retailers, markets and formats shaping grocery retailing’s development across the region to 2031. Use the report to benchmark Europe’s top 10 across their key strategies, and understand how value, scale, technology and differentiation are changing the competitive landscape. Crucially, identify where growth opportunities lie, and the actions retailers and suppliers should take to capture them.

Leading grocery retailers in 2031 in North America

29 October 2026

North America’s grocery growth is concentrating around a handful of increasingly dominant retailers. Are you aligned with the winners? The top 10 will generate over US$350 billion in additional sales by 2031, with Walmart, Costco, Amazon and Aldi set to capture 73% of the top 10’s growth. Discover who will win, how their strategies differ, and the actions suppliers need to take to benefit from the opportunity.

Come back for more future-focused insights, which will be published on 26 November:

Global grocery markets growth 2026-2031

Coming soon

Global channel forecasts 2026-2031

Coming soon

Asia-Pacific channel forecasts 2026-2031

Coming soon

European channel forecasts 2026-2031

Coming soon

North America channel forecasts 2026-2031

Coming soon

Upcoming subscriber webinar

Driving growth: market and channel insights to 2031

26 November, 11:00 AM

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