Against a more uncertain and structurally challenged macroeconomic backdrop, our Economics team will provide an update to their inflation forecast for food and non-alcoholic drinks. As part of the Viewpoint report, this will explore how sustained global instability, including ongoing conflict in the Middle East and wider geopolitical and weather-related risks, is shaping costs, supply chains and demand. It will also set out how prolonged disruption is expected to influence UK food prices, and what this means for businesses and consumers as they adapt to a more complex and persistent operating environment.

Using our Economics team's food and drink inflation forecast for the retail industry, alongside other datapoints including population growth, the uptake and use of GLP-1 medicines, and shoppers’ evolving spending power, we will forecast what this means for the overall grocery retail market to 2031, and what it will be worth by the end of that year.

This report provides a high-level forecast for non-food product sales in grocery stores. Readers will understand how sales of the market’s components, non-edible grocery, tobacco and vape, and other non-food products, will evolve over the next five years, enabling them to identify where the growth opportunities are to 2031 and what retailers and suppliers need to do to benefit from the outlook.

With the Away From Home market facing similar challenges to retail, which have been heightened by further additional costs and rising competition from grocery retailers, the report will cover the interplay between volume and value growth to 2031, and how the former will be impacted by GLP-1 medicines, and the latter will largely be inflation-driven. It will also cover the different dynamics affecting each sector and provide insight into the growth opportunities in the market and by sector.

By combining our eating in (retail) data and away from home forecasts, this report gives a comprehensive and unique view of the UK’s total food and drink market. The data and report will help readers understand the shape of the total food and drink market, identify opportunities in and out of home, and benchmark their growth trajectory against the market.

Our food to go market forecast provides a detailed five-year outlook for the market and its five sectors: three in away from home, coffee and drinks specialists, fast food specialists, and food to go specialists, and two from retail, hypermarkets and supermarkets, and convenience, forecourts and others. The report will provide insights into the growth drivers to 2031, how inflation will impact the market, and the dynamics affecting each sector, over the short- and long-term.

This report breaks down how the grocery and foodservice wholesale market performed in 2025, identifies the customer channels driving growth, and compares this with recent years. It also provides data by segment for our five-year forecast period, from 2026 to 2031, and will help readers understand how the UK’s challenging macroeconomic environment is impacting the sector.