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Viewpoint Special: Spring Forecast as global risks intensify

06 March 2026

Exploring what the 2026 Spring Forecast means for the food system, including the impact of Middle East conflict and risks to food inflation.

This report analyses the Office for Budget Responsibility’s latest economic and fiscal forecasts alongside the Chancellor’s Spring Forecast, published after renewed conflict in the Middle East, and assesses the implications for the UK food and drink system.

Download IGD’s latest report to understand:

  • Insights from the 2026 Spring Forecast and renewed geopolitical tensions for the UK food and drink system

  • The latest OBR outlook for growth, unemployment and household incomes

  • The outlook for retail food and drink inflation

  • Key risks facing food and drink businesses in 2026 and beyond

  • Practical actions to support planning and decision‑making in a more volatile environment

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James Walton
Chief Economist
Michael Freedman
Head of Economic and Consumer Insight

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