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A climate risk assessment of the UK food system

01 October 2025

Climate change is the greatest threat to the UK food system, developing a clear understanding of exposure is essential to improve decision making.


This assessment aims to quantify the financial impact of physical climate risks on the UK food system up to 2050, based on ten critical commodities.

The model represents a useful tool for businesses to identify what the impact of expected climate risk is likely to be on certain products.

This is a first step in developing an open-access model available for all actors to quantify the UK food system’s exposure to climate risk.

Executive summary:

Short on time? Read the below eight page summary of the full report for the methodology and key findings.

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