Shopper confidence remains stable despite increased restrictions

Date : 07 January 2021

Shopper confidence remained stable in December, despite increased COVID-19 restrictions over the Christmas period and uncertainty over EU Exit, according to the latest IGD Shopper Confidence Index. While many shoppers did not have the festive period they had planned for, confidence appeared to be held up by Christmas food and grocery shopping and the rollout of the first virus vaccine.

December 2020 results

Despite sitting at a relatively low level of -6, December’s score remained unchanged from the previous month and is still at the highest level since February 2020.

A breakdown of the data reveals a significant change in confidence on a week-to-week basis – notably, that the score increased to 0 at the start of the month as the nation emerged from the second lockdown and the first vaccine was administered. This then dropped to -8 the following week with the introduction of stricter tier four restrictions in England, and by the end of the month saw a slight boost to -6 in line with an EU trade deal announcement.

IGD ShopperVista 2021

Index highlights

  • Confidence has changed significantly by region with notable declines in London and the South East, corresponding with a tightening of restrictions in these regions
  • Confidence has increased the most among 45-54s
  • With shoppers focused on their Christmas meals, 17% were more focused on quality rather than saving money
  • Over a third (32%) expect to be worse off financially in the year ahead (+1% vs. last month). However, only 17% expect to be better off Trust in the food industry has increased to the highest level since June 2020
  • With environmental issues attracting media attention ahead of COP26, 44% trust the food industry to limit their impact on the environment (+6% vs. Nov 2020)

Simon Wainwright, Director of Global Insight at IGD, said: “While it’s encouraging that overall confidence is still the highest it’s been in nearly a year, we can see that December was a turbulent month as shoppers navigated the constant changes brought on by rising COVID-19 cases.

“This uncertainty will likely continue for the foreseeable future as we enter a new national lockdown and shoppers contend with the deepening economic downturn. It will be key for retailers and suppliers to remain agile in responding to further changes in shopper behaviour and to demonstrate value for shoppers across all physical and digital touchpoints.”

The full IGD Shopper Confidence Index is available to subscribers on IGD ShopperVista.

ENDS

For media enquiries please contact Alexandra Crisp at [email protected] or call +44 7590183295

Notes to editors

  1. Source: IGD ShopperVista; base: 1000+ British shoppers, December 2020
  2. The IGD Shopper Confidence Index blends four key measures that relate directly to the food and consumer goods sector to calculate an overall indication of shopper confidence:
  • Household finances: expect to be better or worse off
  • Food prices: expect to get less or more expensive
  • Focus on quality vs. saving money: future and current focus
  • Trust in industry: across a range of measures
  1. These measures are combined, and the Index score is calculated. The index can vary from -100 to +100, where -100 is a very negative outlook and +100 a very positive outlook. It produces a monthly indication of GB shoppers’ food and grocery confidence, with trended data going back to 2013.
  2. The IGD Shopper Confidence Index will be updated each month with our latest data. Historical trend data is available back to 2013
  3. For more information about the Index and its measures, please visit IGD ShopperVista
  4. IGD is a research and training charity which sits at the heart of the food and grocery industry. IGD has a trading subsidiary that provides commercial services; the net profits from these services are invested into its four charitable pillars – People, Health & Wellness, Sustainability and Economic Analysis
  5. All content is owned by IGD. If you use or refer to any content in this press release, please credit IGD